Improving hurricane track forecasts

An analysis of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) system finds that increased atmospheric vertical resolution improves hurricane track forecasts for Hurricane Joaquin, which the NOAA/NCEP HWRF and Global Forecast System models predicted incorrectly in 2015, suggesting that NOAA/NCEP should increase the number of vertical levels in both models. - Read at PNAS.org

Article #16-13800: “Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example,” by Banglin Zhang et al.